Since December the Jamaican dollar has slid from about 48 to over 60 to one against its US counterpart. Where it will settle is anyone’s guess, but perhaps the past can give some guide as to what is to come.

Jamaicans love to revel in bad news, and there’s been a lot of it lately as the dollar falls, the national debt rises, and Gulf War II decimates tourism. Then of course there’s the continuing cynicism and hypocrisy of our politicians.

The PNP got 52% and the JLP 47.5% of the votes cast on October 16^th. However in garrison constituencies many people vote not as they desire but as they are told. It’s hard to say how many seat results are primarily determined by force. But four constituencies – which also contain the island’s most crime stricken areas - gave one party over 80% support

The Jamaican electorate got it right again. After taking everything into account – government performance, opposition promises, media reports, competing advertisements, leader debates – we voters came up with a result which made almost everyone happy. Comrades were glad to see their party get home on top, if only just. Labourites were pleased at avoiding humiliation for the first time in 4 elections. And non-partisans were delighted to get our balanced parliament since independence.

Britain is the world’s oldest democracy. America is the richest. India is the most populous. And watching the JLP mass rally at Half Way Tree last Sunday it occurred to me – and not for the first time – that Jamaica must surely be the most exciting. What other nation celebrates democracy with such unbridled passion?

Last Monday’s nomination day television scenes must have gladdened the hearts of everyone who loves this country. For the laughing faces of Labourites and Comrades dancing together were proof positive of the proud joy we as a people take in our ability to freely elect our leaders. And justifiably so, because for all its faults independent Jamaica has been a political marvel, and is surely a leading contender for the title of “world’s most exuberant democracy”.

Having spoken to him only a few times, I don’t know Bruce Golding very well. So my judgement of the man is based on media reports and the opinions of those who know him well. But it’s my strong impression that there is no more intelligent and honest politician in Jamaica. And everyone who puts their country’s interests first - as opposed to party agendas or personal vendettas - must be happy at having a man of such stature involved in national affairs once again.

While cutting my hair last week I overheard some people discussing the upcoming vote. No one liked the idea of a fourth consecutive one sided PNP win. But, everyone kept asking, what was going to happen to the JLP when Seaga retired? Try as they might, no one could come up with a positive reason to vote for either main party. “Boy” one man finally exclaimed “it look like we have a 911 election. We on the top floor and the building on fire. So we can either stay up there and burn up with the PNP or jump out and crash with the JLP!”.

Thanks to Marcus Garvey and Bob Marley Jamaica is famed as a font of black consciousness. And no country gave stronger moral support to Zimbabwe and South Africa in the fight against apartheid. So what will Nigerians watching the Miss World contest next month think of a white Jewish Miss Jamaica?

“There’s no humourist like history” Will Durant once wrote. Meaning that no matter what the situation, go back or forward far enough in time and circumstances will be completely reversed. Eight hundred years ago for example Mongolia was the centre of the largest land empire the world has known, while North America was a sparsely populated wilderness. Today Mongolia is an isolated backwater and North America is home to the most powerful nation yet known to man. Who is to say that in another 800 years their positions will not again have revolved?